390Forecasting is Way Overrated, and We Should Stop Funding ItMarcus Abramovitch 🔸·6mo ago·6m readMarcus Abramovitch 🔸·6mo ago·6m read9898
227I made a news site based on prediction marketsvandemonian·3y ago·5m readvandemonian·3y ago·5m read1414
220Comparing top forecasters and domain expertstechnicalities, Arb, Misha_Yagudin·4y ago·4m readtechnicalities, Arb, Misha_Yagudin+ 2 more·4y ago·4m read4040
111Predictive Performance on Metaculus vs. Manifold Marketsnikos·3y ago·6m readnikos·3y ago·6m read88
101The Charity Entrepreneurship top ideas new charity prediction marketAmbitious Impact, weeatquince🔸·3y ago·11m readAmbitious Impact, weeatquince🔸+ 1 more·3y ago·11m read1010
87Prediction Markets in The Corporate SettingNunoSempere, elifland, Misha_Yagudin·4y ago·40m readNunoSempere, elifland, Misha_Yagudin+ 2 more·4y ago·40m read1515
83Manifolio: The tool for making Kelly optimal bets on Manifold MarketsWill Howard🔹·3y ago·3m readWill Howard🔹·3y ago·3m read2424
67View and Bet in Manifold prediction markets on EA ForumSinclair Chen·4y ago·1m readSinclair Chen·4y ago·1m read33
63I bet superforecaster David Manheim 2 k$ that the unemployment rate in the United States in 2027 will be lower than 8 %Vasco Grilo🔸·1y ago·1m readVasco Grilo🔸·1y ago·1m read1818
60Forecasting Newsletter: Looking back at 2021.NunoSempere·4y ago·11m readNunoSempere·4y ago·11m read88