We prioritise a range of FAWs, but I would argue many of these are cost effective in expectation because the number of beings who could benefit from (even a low probability) success is high.
My question is something like:
"Based on observation of what we've tried, which FAW interventions do we know have the highest likelihood of succeeding?".
Cross-posted from my Substack.
Epistemic status: I’ve puzzled over this for a long time but I’m not sure I came to the right answers. I'm sharing this partly because it might help others work on resource allocation, but mostly because some smarter reader might tell me how to do it better.
TL;DR:
* I he...
With the AI windfall, mental health may be taken increasingly seriously by mainstream EA. There’s increasingly room to explore the cause area and answer some of the biggest uncertainties; at the same time, costs of the most effective interventions are continuing to fall. StrongMinds is now treating for ~$35, about a third of GiveWell’s best guess from a few years ago, and is expected to...