Cross-posted from my Substack.
Epistemic status: I’ve puzzled over this for a long time but I’m not sure I came to the right answers. I'm sharing this partly because it might help others work on resource allocation, but mostly because some smarter reader might tell me how to do it better.
TL;DR:
* I he...
With the AI windfall, mental health may be taken increasingly seriously by mainstream EA. There’s increasingly room to explore the cause area and answer some of the biggest uncertainties; at the same time, costs of the most effective interventions are continuing to fall. StrongMinds is now treating for ~$35, about a third of GiveWell’s best guess from a few years ago, and is expected to...
Quick reflections from EAG NYC:
As someone who did not attend, this is helpful, thank you.
1: The incentives in Econ academia are terrible. It’s a closed and very hierarchical system in which your career almost exclusively depends from references from top professors, which you will only get if you work on the “approved topics”. At least, this holds for macroeconomics, maybe other fields are more open. Not sure whether EA can do much about this besides offering enough money, and especially prestige, to convince economists to abandon their traditional career ladders.
(Not an economist but I used to work with many of them)
8: I get the same impression, why do you think this is? And how can we as a field reconcile this with the fact that it’s only going to get more common as fellowship spots grow at a much faster rate than full time positions? Related: What do people (or you) think someone should do after 2 fellowships, if they haven’t managed to get a full time research role?
Yea it's bad bad. It sucks because I think the AIS space is also severely neglecting the economic toolkit in regulating AI. Fundamentally AI x-risk is a (rather unique and probabilistic) negative externality but there are like 15 people in the world trying to think about optimal regulation from this lens meanwhile. And ofc there are lots of other important questions as you mentioned that econ has a good framework to bring in.
Grantmakers should probably start handing out grants to phds to write papers (no obligation to publish to a journal or good journal) on AI stuff, and if they write a good paper just ask them if they want to run a few person org studying an important policy topic from an econ lens. This will get you much better research but the issue is then if you can prestige launder them enough for policy makers to take the research seriously.
>Related: What do people (or you) think someone should do after 2 fellowships, if they haven’t managed to get a full time research role?
Just based quickly on your situation, not a great solution but maybe you could get some money from tailwind or someone else to do econ recruiting/grantmaking for important questions? Probably wouldn't be super high probability of landing it though so if you just are mainly concerned about what to do with your time (which I get) idk.