Just how powerful are large swarms of AI agents? And how do their powers scale as more and more agents are added to the swarm?
We’ve seen two large and extremely capable swarms from OpenAI in the last few months:
* 1,200 agents were being evaluated separately, but found a way to illicitly set up a message board and coordinate as a swarm. In order to cheat on their tests, they developed advanced techniques to prevent their actions being logged by OpenAI and 700 of them launched...
Often folks hit us up because they are thinking of starting an incubator and want advice.
Typically their motivation is either that (a) they have a list of specific things they want built that no one is building, or (b) they think an ecosystem needs more new projects generally to absorb more talent and deploy more funding effectively.
Here are six questions we often ask prospective teams, to help them figure out what to do. If you're incubator-curious...
A century-old pill, given to the right people, could cost-effectively save many lives.
Summary
* Targeting low-cost prevention toward people at elevated risk may uncover highly cost-effective ways to address noncommunicable diseases. Hypertensive disorders in pregnancy could be a test case for this approach.
* ...
Has anyone thought about donation swaps for tax-deductible giving (a bit like kidney paired donations)? I feel like a good amount of people would be excited about giving to nonprofits that fall outside of the typical options (eg. LEEP or SWP instead of Givewell or THL), but end up defaulting to the latter because that's the only way for them to make tax-deductible donations to EA-aligned charities in their country.
I would be excited about a mechanism allowing me to make tax-deductible donations to a charity of choice for someone in my country, who would in turn do the same to my preferred charity in their country.
Is there something like that already? If not, happy to chat with others who want to explore this further!
There used to be such a system: https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/YhPWq784eRDr5999P/announcing-the-ea-donation-swap-system It got shut down 7 months ago (see the comments on that post).
My impression is that most EA oriented charities can already accept tax-advantaged donations from most countries via intermediaries. Is there a particular country/charity combination you are thinking of that is not currently possible?
I think this is true for english-speaking countries, but less so for most european countries. In Switzerland for example, you have direct access to 12 EA-aligned tax-deductible charities through Effektiv-Spenden (6 GH&W, 2 FAW, 4 Climate change).
GWWC on the other hand enables direct tax-deductible donations to 50+ funds & nonprofits across all main cause areas for the US, UK, Australia (& the Netherlands).