Thanks for the update, Toby! I continue to prefer donating to Animal Charity Evaluators (ACE) instead of the Animal Welfare Fund (AWF) to incentivise this to be more transparent. ACE publishes comprehensive reviews of the charities they recommend. AWF's last payout report described in more detail 3 grants, but there were just a few paragraphs on each one. I understand publishing a detailed review for each grant would not be feasible. However, I think it would be possible to publish some grant applications (as in Manifund), and I would like to see some longer assessments, including some cost-effectiveness analyses (CEAs).
Thanks to everyone who voted and/or donated to the Donation Election!
Winners
The winners this year are:
The EA Animal Welfare Fund ($6693.75)
The Shrimp Welfare Project ($4259.66)
The Against Malaria Foundation ($4259.66)
We used a ranked-choice voting to determine the winner. 314 of you voted, and 44 of you donated (thank you!).
The final votes were as follows:
Below you can see how many people ranked the three winners 1–10 (based on initial votes).
PS - just in the nick of time, Forum users donated enough to qualify for a debate week of your choice in Q1 next year. I'll ask for your ideas in January.
In AWF's marginal funding post, the Karolina writes that:
"Our strategy aims to deploy at least $20M to proven and emerging interventions, but we face an $11.6M funding gap for 2026 that will determine whether these opportunities can be leveraged or remain unexplored."
What is that strategy? You can read the whole thing here, but one gloss from the piece is that:
"Our strategy prioritizes large, neglected species of animals, as well as farmed animals in the Global South, where the majority of suffering occurs but disproportionately little attention is paid. We plan to maintain our role as an early-stage funder, supporting novel interventions, while also stepping in to provide scale-up support when proven work faces funding gaps that other grantmakers can't or won't fill."
Extra funding may support:
Cage free corporate campaigns in the global south, where markets are currently growing.
Improving the welfare of farmed shrimp and fish by advocating for welfare standards in the global south.
Piloting contraceptives as an alternative to culling for wild animal species.
Shrimp Welfare Project reports no current funding gap: existing donors are expected to cover its core plans for humane slaughter, research, and corporate engagement.
So what would extra funding next year do?
Aaron Boddy, author of SWP's marginal funding post, writes: "I believe there's potential for us to build on this momentum with ambitious projects that could absorb $5-10 million, allowing us to not just double the impact but 20x-ing it."
He's talking about 1) scaling up the Humane Slaughter Initiative, and 2) exploring leads for even more impactful interventions.
In 2026, AMF will be distributing 69 million malaria nets, providing protection for 124 million people. More money = more nets.
Rob Mather (AMF CEO) reports a very large funding gap: US $462 million. By 'funding gap' Rob is referring to the amount of money it would cost to fund their approved projects (and projects they are likely to approve over the next couple years). More details here.
This number is so high because major AMF partners such as The Global Fund have greatly reduced their funding this year.
Want more stats? Make your own!
Anonymised data on all the final votes are here. Please share anything you find in the comments below.
A preliminary estimate, and a request for better ones.
Summary
I believe the standard literature estimates for the number of DALYs attributable to a case of stunting are too low, largely because they don’t account for the long term effects. This means that childhood nutritional interventions that reduce the prevalence of stunting may be substantially more cost-effective than previously believed.
Epistemic status
Exploratory and back-o...
Note: This post was crossposted from Planned Obsolescence by the Forum team, with the author's permission. The author may not see or respond to comments on this post.
Subtitle: It’s a major warning shot, and might be the last one we get
All opinions are my personal view, and don’t represent my employer or fellow investigators.
This week, METR and Redwood Research published...
Overview
This post summarizes a new preprint on alternative proteins from the Humane and Sustainable Food Lab: New alternatives, same orders. We investigated 19...
The Against Malaria Foundation still has the juice!
the sauce?
Not the shrimp sauce, surely!
Who is to say that Rob Mather doesn't enjoy a shrimp cocktail now and then?