77:I[392826,["$2","$3","$4","$5","$6","$7","$8","$9","$a","$b","$c","$d","$2a","$2b"],"default"] 78:I[836637,["$2","$3","$4","$5","$6","$7","$8","$9","$a","$b","$c","$d","$2a","$2b"],"default"] 79:T145f,

I run Sentinel, a team that seeks to anticipate and respond to large-scale risks. You can read our weekly minutes here. I like to spend my time acquiring deeper models of the world, and generally becoming more formidable. I'm also a fairly good forecaster: I started out on predicting on Good Judgment Open and CSET-Foretell, but now do most of my forecasting through Samotsvety, of which Scott Alexander writes:

Enter Samotsvety Forecasts. This is a team of some of the best superforecasters in the world. They won the CSET-Foretell forecasting competition by an absolutely obscene margin, “around twice as good as the next-best team in terms of the relative Brier score”. If the point of forecasting tournaments is to figure out who you can trust, the science has spoken, and the answer is “these guys”.

I used to post prolifically on the EA Forum, but nowadays, I post my research and thoughts at nunosempere.com / nunosempere.com/blog rather than on this forum, because:

I disagree with the EA Forum's moderation policy—they've banned a few disagreeable people whom I like, and I think they're generally a bit too censorious for my liking.
The Forum website has become more annoying to me over time: more cluttered and more pushy in terms of curated and pinned posts (I've partially mitigated this by writing my own minimalistic frontend)
The above two issues have made me take notice that the EA Forum is beyond my control, and it feels like a dumb move to host my research in a platform that has goals different from my own.

But a good fraction of my past research is still available here on the EA Forum. I'm particularly fond of my series on Estimating Value.

My career has been as follows:

Before Sentinel, I set up my own niche consultancy, Shapley Maximizers. This was very profitable, and I used the profits to bootstrap Sentinel. I am winding this down, but if you have need of estimation services for big decisions, you can still reach out.
I used to do research around longtermism, forecasting and quantification, as well as some programming, at the Quantified Uncertainty Research Institute (QURI). At QURI, I programmed Metaforecast.org, a search tool which aggregates predictions from many different platforms—a more up to date alternative might be adj.news. I spent some time in the Bahamas as part of the FTX EA Fellowship, and did a bunch of work for the FTX Foundation, which then went to waste when it evaporated.
I write a Forecasting Newsletter which gathered a few thousand subscribers; I previously abandoned but have recently restarted it. I used to really enjoy winning bets against people too confident in their beliefs, but I try to do this in structured prediction markets, because betting against normal people started to feel like taking candy from a baby.
Previously, I was a Future of Humanity Institute 2020 Summer Research Fellow, and then worked on a grant from the Long Term Future Fund to do "independent research on forecasting and optimal paths to improve the long-term."
Before that, I studied Maths and Philosophy, dropped out in exasperation at the inefficiency, picked up some development economics; helped implement the European Summer Program on Rationality during 2017, 2018 2019, 2020 and 2022; worked as a contractor for various forecasting and programming projects; volunteered for various Effective Altruism organizations, and carried out many independent research projects. In a past life, I also wrote a popular Spanish literature blog, and remain keenly interested in Spanish poetry.

You can share feedback anonymously with me here.

Note: You can sign up for all my posts here: <https://nunosempere.com/.newsletter/>, or subscribe to my posts' RSS here: <https://nunosempere.com/blog/index.rss>

7a:T887,

I'm a researcher at Forethought; before that, I ran the non-engineering side of the EA Forum (this platform), ran the EA Newsletter, and worked on some other content-related tasks at CEA. [More about the Forum/CEA Online job.]

Selected posts

Background

I finished my undergraduate studies with a double major in mathematics and comparative literature in 2021. I was a research fellow at Rethink Priorities in the summer of 2021 and was then hired by the Events Team at CEA. I later switched to the Online Team. In the past, I've also done some (math) research and worked at Canada/USA Mathcamp.

7b:T895,

Currently exploring new projects. I'm a generalist builder with startup, product and ops experience. I've done a bit of EA community building and am keen to improve talent pipelines for people working on the most important problems. (A little on my journey to EA)

Some posts I've written and particularly like:

Advice I frequently give:

When in doubt, apply*
What Ops in EA is like
If you're running a retreat, nail the vibes and venue
Add randomness to your conferences

6c:["$","$L2d",null,{"pageSectionContext":"tagsSection","children":["$","div",null,{"data-component":"TopicPostsList","children":[["$","div",null,{"data-component":"SectionTitle","className":"flex items-center justify-between mb-1 min-h-8","children":[["$","div",null,{"id":"posts-tagged-criticism-of-longtermism-and-existential-risk","ref":"$undefined","style":"$undefined","className":"font-sans text-[13px] font-[700] leading-[16px] uppercase text-gray-600 ","data-component":"Type","data-style":"sectionTitleSmall","children":"Posts tagged Criticism of longtermism and existential risk studies"}],["$","div",null,{"children":["$","$L77",null,{"sortedBy":"top"}]}]]}],["$","$L78","top",{"tagId":"gP4rpeK3CoE7mfrxK","tagName":"Criticism of longtermism and existential risk studies","sortedBy":"top","initialPosts":[{"_id":"L6ZmggEJw8ri4KB8X","slug":"my-highly-personal-skepticism-braindump-on-existential-risk","title":"My highly personal skepticism braindump on existential risk from artificial intelligence.","url":"https://nunosempere.com/blog/2023/01/23/my-highly-personal-skepticism-braindump-on-existential-risk/","baseScore":442,"voteCount":184,"commentCount":116,"postedAt":"2023-01-23T20:08:28.707Z","curatedDate":null,"frontpageDate":"2023-01-24T10:46:39.796Z","draft":false,"deletedDraft":false,"question":false,"isEvent":false,"groupId":null,"sticky":false,"eventImageId":null,"socialPreview":null,"socialPreviewImageAutoUrl":"https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/v1674494698/mirroredImages/L6ZmggEJw8ri4KB8X/nnvv26eiadmcqlnfvcca.png","readTimeMinutesOverride":null,"collabEditorDialogue":false,"disableRecommendation":false,"authorIsUnreviewed":false,"lastCommentedAt":"2023-08-14T17:26:08.052Z","sharingSettings":null,"shortform":false,"startTime":null,"onlineEvent":false,"googleLocation":null,"user":{"_id":"YRCdk7cvPT6pyiph9","slug":"nunosempere","displayName":"NunoSempere","username":"NunoSempere","createdAt":"2018-11-15T15:52:18.347Z","profileImageId":"Profile/k878ddoduabhtngbawob","karma":13987,"jobTitle":"Director, Head of Foresight","organization":"Sentinel","postCount":107,"commentCount":1294,"deleted":false,"biographyHtml":"$79"},"contents":{"wordCount":4218,"htmlHighlight":"

Summary

This document seeks to outline why I feel uneasy about high existential risk estimates from AGI (e.g., 80% doom by 2070). When I try to verbalize this, I view considerations like

selection effects at the level of which arguments are discovered and distributed
community epistemic problems, and
increased uncertainty due to chains of reasoning with imperfect concepts

as real and important.

I sti..."},"group":null,"coauthors":null,"customHtmlHighlight":"","tags":[{"_id":"oNiQsBHA3i837sySD","core":true,"name":"AI safety","slug":"ai-safety","tagRel":{"_id":"nhGd4KGhJSfsRDu4K","voteType":null,"baseScore":2},"postCount":7318,"description":"

AI safety is the study of ways to reduce risks posed by artificial intelligence.

Interventions that aim to reduce these risks can be split into:

Technical alignment..."},{"_id":"ee66CtAMYurQreWBH","core":true,"name":"Existential risk","slug":"existential-risk","tagRel":{"_id":"tyiDmj8hMibELTWgk","voteType":null,"baseScore":2},"postCount":4379,"description":"
An existential risk is a risk that threatens the destruction of the long-term potential of life.[1] An existential risk could threaten the..."},{"_id":"EHLmbEmJ2Qd5WfwTb","core":true,"name":"Building effective altruism","slug":"building-effective-altruism","tagRel":{"_id":"KNND2mmKh3WsHCiae","voteType":null,"baseScore":2},"postCount":7868,"description":"
Building effective altruism refers to the family of interventions aimed at growing, shaping, or otherwise improving effective altruism as a practical and intellectual community.
Examples of building effective altruism include starting..."},{"_id":"aFJtBqxDkRX4Dj3m4","core":false,"name":"Community epistemic health","slug":"community-epistemic-health","tagRel":{"_id":"bqJMEEvjfm8MsMvLT","voteType":null,"baseScore":4},"postCount":206,"description":"
The community epistemic health tag applies to posts addressing the current state of epistemic health in the effective altruism community, as well as posts discussing how we might improve the epistemic health of the community.
Effective altruism is about working out how to do as much good as we can using evidence and reason..."},{"_id":"aJnrnnobcBNWRsfAw","core":true,"name":"Forecasting","slug":"forecasting","tagRel":{"_id":"sfoXPbimGthyvgp84","voteType":null,"baseScore":2},"postCount":2086,"description":"
Forecasting is an important tool for improving the future, because good forecasts and estimates can help us appropriately plan interventions and assess risks. Over the past several decades there has been significant research and investment in forecasting and estimation techniques, tools, and organizations. This continues to be a..."},{"_id":"gP4rpeK3CoE7mfrxK","core":false,"name":"Criticism of longtermism and existential risk studies","slug":"criticism-of-longtermism-and-existential-risk-studies","tagRel":{"_id":"CFADWtQRfCzEvnRDp","voteType":null,"baseScore":4},"postCount":180,"description":"
Criticism of longtermism and existential risk studies collects critical discussions of longtermism and existential risk studies.
Further reading
Melchin, Denise (2021)..."},{"_id":"gfHzi2LEAFZHepiBH","core":false,"name":"Samotsvety Forecasting","slug":"samotsvety-forecasting","tagRel":{"_id":"GPDabnbSSoByjmgCo","voteType":null,"baseScore":2},"postCount":11,"description":"
Samotsvety Forecasting is a forecasting group started primarily by Misha Yagudin, Nuño Sempere, and..."},{"_id":"qnpsn9LbiD4hkbPRF","core":false,"name":"Quantified Uncertainty Research Institute","slug":"quantified-uncertainty-research-institute","tagRel":{"_id":"z2Httwaqrnj4mzXLY","voteType":null,"baseScore":2},"postCount":96,"description":"
The Quantified Uncertainty Research Institute (QURI) is a nonprofit set up to study forecasting and epistemics. QURI was founded in 2019.
Funding
As of June 2022, QURI has received over $650,000 in funding from the..."},{"_id":"sSZ8pCvackwaY9vBx","core":false,"name":"Criticism of effective altruism","slug":"criticism-of-effective-altruism","tagRel":{"_id":"CGhWnfc3YHjK64YwD","voteType":null,"baseScore":2},"postCount":598,"description":"
Criticism of effective altruism collects critical discussion of effective altruism ideas (as opposed to criticism of effective altruist organizations,..."},{"_id":"doAxFNMmB7qMbJsDR","core":false,"name":"Criticism of the effective altruism community","slug":"criticism-of-the-effective-altruism-community","tagRel":{"_id":"zqEyMTymrpg5uPDnz","voteType":null,"baseScore":11},"postCount":283,"description":"
Criticism of the effective altruism community includes criticism of behaviors, norms, and dynamics in the effective altruism community, as opposed to criticism of effective altruist causes,..."},{"_id":"BF9ioxvBD7wdH6QzE","core":false,"name":"AI risk skepticism","slug":"ai-risk-skepticism","tagRel":{"_id":"tRCXfMHiJEd6mkJbY","voteType":null,"baseScore":8},"postCount":227,"description":"
AI risk skepticism is skepticism about arguments that advanced artificial intelligence poses a catastrophic or..."}]},{"_id":"Jxfq6xCP9ZoTBFewA","slug":"why-i-am-probably-not-a-longtermist","title":"Why I am probably not a longtermist","url":null,"baseScore":276,"voteCount":181,"commentCount":50,"postedAt":"2021-09-23T17:24:22.123Z","curatedDate":null,"frontpageDate":"2021-09-24T04:26:32.841Z","draft":false,"deletedDraft":false,"question":false,"isEvent":false,"groupId":null,"sticky":false,"eventImageId":null,"socialPreview":null,"socialPreviewImageAutoUrl":"","readTimeMinutesOverride":null,"collabEditorDialogue":false,"disableRecommendation":false,"authorIsUnreviewed":false,"lastCommentedAt":"2025-07-01T11:54:28.740Z","sharingSettings":null,"shortform":false,"startTime":null,"onlineEvent":false,"googleLocation":null,"user":{"_id":"mY5SbS3DJk3jYNXSu","slug":"d_m_x","displayName":"D_M_x","username":"Denise_Melchin","createdAt":"2014-10-14T08:43:04.783Z","profileImageId":null,"karma":4261,"jobTitle":null,"organization":null,"postCount":21,"commentCount":305,"deleted":false,"biographyHtml":""},"contents":{"wordCount":2335,"htmlHighlight":"
tl;dr: I am much more interested in making the future good, as opposed to long or big, as I neither think the world is great now nor am convinced it will be in the future.\nI am uncertain whether there are any scenarios which lock us into a world at least as bad as now that we can avoid or shape in the near future. If there are none, I think it is better to focus on “traditional neartermist” ways to improve the world.
\n
I thought it might be interesting to other EAs why I do not feel very..."},"group":null,"coauthors":null,"customHtmlHighlight":"","tags":[{"_id":"ee66CtAMYurQreWBH","core":true,"name":"Existential risk","slug":"existential-risk","tagRel":{"_id":"8ua3WvfhBpuBuKtzR","voteType":null,"baseScore":2},"postCount":4379,"description":"
An existential risk is a risk that threatens the destruction of the long-term potential of life.^[1] An existential risk could threaten the..."},{"_id":"SM397hQ6A9wiDrD3e","core":false,"name":"Population ethics","slug":"population-ethics","tagRel":{"_id":"TjWP7SMNrT32rY2CH","voteType":null,"baseScore":2},"postCount":216,"description":"
Population ethics is the branch of normative ethics that attempts to justify and articulate principles for making choices between alternatives involving different people. These differences can consist of changes either in the number of people affected or only in the identities of these people...."},{"_id":"QvvdayWWSvmeBCtqZ","core":false,"name":"Community experiences","slug":"community-experiences","tagRel":{"_id":"gRRmydRJCGku3Y6gD","voteType":null,"baseScore":2},"postCount":395,"description":"
The community experiences tag covers posts about members of the EA community recounting their own or others' experiences with the EA movement - such as origin stories, lessons learnt or experiences participating in an event, job, internship or community.
\n
Related entries
\n
..."},{"_id":"sSZ8pCvackwaY9vBx","core":false,"name":"Criticism of effective altruism","slug":"criticism-of-effective-altruism","tagRel":{"_id":"mKyhtmFgj2LsiWYA8","voteType":null,"baseScore":1},"postCount":598,"description":"
Criticism of effective altruism collects critical discussion of effective altruism ideas (as opposed to criticism of effective altruist organizations,..."},{"_id":"t2L2RziMDLEuHBWNF","core":false,"name":"Longtermism","slug":"longtermism","tagRel":{"_id":"6StmuoxqpLDku6Pkv","voteType":null,"baseScore":6},"postCount":1071,"description":"
Longtermism is the view that positively influencing the long-term future is a key moral priority of our time.^[1]..."},{"_id":"FdbA8vts5JPKCEou8","core":false,"name":"Long-term future","slug":"long-term-future","tagRel":{"_id":"PdfReXnBHAruZYdAR","voteType":null,"baseScore":4},"postCount":303,"description":"
The long-term future focuses on possible ways in which the future of humanity may unfold over long timescales.
Bostrom's typology of possible scenarios
Nick Bostrom has identified four broad possibilities for the future of humanity...."},{"_id":"4eyeLKC64Yvznzt6Z","core":true,"name":"Philosophy","slug":"philosophy","tagRel":{"_id":"YpjpigcWmY5k9MRj9","voteType":null,"baseScore":1},"postCount":3619,"description":"
Philosophy is a field oriented towards investigating the most general and abstract features of the world. In effective altruism, discussions often focus on moral philosophy in particular. Work in effective altruism often raises questi..."},{"_id":"EHLmbEmJ2Qd5WfwTb","core":true,"name":"Building effective altruism","slug":"building-effective-altruism","tagRel":{"_id":"m4oc2bSzLf3nBgk3E","voteType":null,"baseScore":1},"postCount":7868,"description":"
Building effective altruism refers to the family of interventions aimed at growing, shaping, or otherwise improving effective altruism as a practical and intellectual community.
Examples of building effective altruism include starting..."},{"_id":"gP4rpeK3CoE7mfrxK","core":false,"name":"Criticism of longtermism and existential risk studies","slug":"criticism-of-longtermism-and-existential-risk-studies","tagRel":{"_id":"yBfKwuQ5HhMq9SebL","voteType":null,"baseScore":10},"postCount":180,"description":"
Criticism of longtermism and existential risk studies collects critical discussions of longtermism and existential risk studies.
Further reading
Melchin, Denise (2021)..."}]},{"_id":"kageSSDLSMpuwkPKK","slug":"response-to-recent-criticisms-of-longtermism-1","title":"Response to Recent Criticisms of Longtermism","url":null,"baseScore":249,"voteCount":96,"commentCount":31,"postedAt":"2021-12-13T13:36:06.018Z","curatedDate":null,"frontpageDate":"2021-12-13T15:40:46.958Z","draft":false,"deletedDraft":false,"question":false,"isEvent":false,"groupId":null,"sticky":false,"eventImageId":null,"socialPreview":null,"socialPreviewImageAutoUrl":"","readTimeMinutesOverride":null,"collabEditorDialogue":false,"disableRecommendation":false,"authorIsUnreviewed":false,"lastCommentedAt":"2022-05-26T20:45:42.738Z","sharingSettings":null,"shortform":false,"startTime":null,"onlineEvent":false,"googleLocation":null,"user":{"_id":"Xb3bSR5ijk639PXMe","slug":"avital-balwit-1","displayName":"ab","username":"Avital Balwit","createdAt":"2021-09-17T08:31:51.446Z","profileImageId":null,"karma":1394,"jobTitle":null,"organization":"Future Fund ","postCount":1,"commentCount":5,"deleted":false,"biographyHtml":"
Avital Balwit
"},"contents":{"wordCount":8429,"htmlHighlight":"
This piece is a response to two recent essays by Phil Torres which are critical of longtermism. It does not presume that the reader is familiar with longtermism, and is thus not directed towards regular Forum readers who likely will already be familiar with this material.

Introduction
Recently, Phil Torres wrote..."},"group":null,"coauthors":null,"customHtmlHighlight":"","tags":[{"_id":"ee66CtAMYurQreWBH","core":true,"name":"Existential risk","slug":"existential-risk","tagRel":{"_id":"BWBcDtM3p4qwzNSHL","voteType":null,"baseScore":2},"postCount":4379,"description":"
An existential risk is a risk that threatens the destruction of the long-term potential of life.^[1] An existential risk could threaten the..."},{"_id":"ui3ZZqd23HzA7wNwP","core":false,"name":"Criticism of effective altruist causes","slug":"criticism-of-effective-altruist-causes","tagRel":{"_id":"kkTpfZisAzK3vg9Bu","voteType":null,"baseScore":6},"postCount":242,"description":"
The criticism of effective altruist causes tag covers posts that criticize popular claims about the importance of a given cause area, or an idea within that area. They don't have to be critical of the area as a whole — just one or more popular ideas related to the area.
Related entries
..."},{"_id":"APT6di9bDPYGBqPLv","core":false,"name":"Total view","slug":"total-view","tagRel":{"_id":"yAMnar3jcPAZPB6Hm","voteType":null,"baseScore":1},"postCount":24,"description":"
The total view is a view in population ethics that regards one outcome as better than another if and only if it contains greater total wellbeing, regardless of whether it does so because p..."},{"_id":"EHLmbEmJ2Qd5WfwTb","core":true,"name":"Building effective altruism","slug":"building-effective-altruism","tagRel":{"_id":"rjN76jbDg3FWMv6Sf","voteType":null,"baseScore":1},"postCount":7868,"description":"
Building effective altruism refers to the family of interventions aimed at growing, shaping, or otherwise improving effective altruism as a practical and intellectual community.
Examples of building effective altruism include starting..."},{"_id":"4eyeLKC64Yvznzt6Z","core":true,"name":"Philosophy","slug":"philosophy","tagRel":{"_id":"P3vcL2gc5TY6h3qui","voteType":null,"baseScore":1},"postCount":3619,"description":"
Philosophy is a field oriented towards investigating the most general and abstract features of the world. In effective altruism, discussions often focus on moral philosophy in particular. Work in effective altruism often raises questi..."},{"_id":"t2L2RziMDLEuHBWNF","core":false,"name":"Longtermism","slug":"longtermism","tagRel":{"_id":"fx2eFpkRfQGKhitLP","voteType":null,"baseScore":11},"postCount":1071,"description":"
Longtermism is the view that positively influencing the long-term future is a key moral priority of our time.^[1]..."},{"_id":"gP4rpeK3CoE7mfrxK","core":false,"name":"Criticism of longtermism and existential risk studies","slug":"criticism-of-longtermism-and-existential-risk-studies","tagRel":{"_id":"fDCjfPjtwbyvxPY8h","voteType":null,"baseScore":5},"postCount":180,"description":"
Criticism of longtermism and existential risk studies collects critical discussions of longtermism and existential risk studies.
Further reading
Melchin, Denise (2021)..."}]},{"_id":"YgbpxJmEdFhFGpqci","slug":"winners-of-the-ea-criticism-and-red-teaming-contest","title":"Winners of the EA Criticism and Red Teaming Contest","url":null,"baseScore":227,"voteCount":96,"commentCount":42,"postedAt":"2022-10-01T01:50:09.257Z","curatedDate":null,"frontpageDate":"2022-10-01T08:36:15.269Z","draft":false,"deletedDraft":false,"question":false,"isEvent":false,"groupId":null,"sticky":false,"eventImageId":null,"socialPreview":null,"socialPreviewImageAutoUrl":"https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/YgbpxJmEdFhFGpqci/qki5sei7bn0yllbisvw6","readTimeMinutesOverride":null,"collabEditorDialogue":false,"disableRecommendation":false,"authorIsUnreviewed":false,"lastCommentedAt":"2026-02-03T09:45:47.306Z","sharingSettings":{"anyoneWithLinkCan":"none","explicitlySharedUsersCan":"comment"},"shortform":false,"startTime":null,"onlineEvent":false,"googleLocation":null,"user":{"_id":"SuPnfB9qqKWsucNzm","slug":"lizka","displayName":"Lizka","username":"Lizka","createdAt":"2019-11-06T06:22:18.538Z","profileImageId":"Profile/llwmfw62hcsq2vuk1n7g","karma":18093,"jobTitle":"Researcher","organization":"Forethought","postCount":154,"commentCount":581,"deleted":false,"biographyHtml":"$7a"},"contents":{"wordCount":5670,"htmlHighlight":"
We’re excited to announce the winners of the EA Criticism and Red Teaming Contest. We had 341 submissions and are awarding $120,000 in prizes to our top 31 entries.
We^[1] set out with the primary ..."},"group":null,"coauthors":[{"_id":"DyzHp5KY2tuLHDPZX","slug":"owen_cotton-barratt","karma":11027,"deleted":false,"jobTitle":null,"username":"Owen_Cotton-Barratt","createdAt":"2014-08-21T01:29:43.291+00:00","postCount":75,"displayName":"Owen Cotton-Barratt","commentCount":997,"organization":null,"biographyHtml":null,"profileImageId":null}],"customHtmlHighlight":"","tags":[{"_id":"ihpwNfh2ZxR4ZHaAK","core":false,"name":"Prizes and contests","slug":"prizes-and-contests","tagRel":{"_id":"3J2aurc5oqiY3J9rw","voteType":null,"baseScore":2},"postCount":170,"description":"
A prize is something of value given to reward success in a contest or to recognize outstanding achievement. Prizes have been proposed as an alternative to existing methods for incentivizing innovation, such as patents and grants.^{..."},{"_id":"EHXNGqENrziYQJsox","core":false,"name":"AI forecasting","slug":"ai-forecasting","tagRel":{"_id":"AiojgbtRM4FxEEwP9","voteType":null,"baseScore":2},"postCount":545,"description":"}
AI forecasting is the process of trying to predict a variety of outcomes related to AI, such as when human-level AI will emerge (AI timelines) and what impacts it will have.
Further reading
Cotra, Ajeya (2020) ..."},{"_id":"ui3ZZqd23HzA7wNwP","core":false,"name":"Criticism of effective altruist causes","slug":"criticism-of-effective-altruist-causes","tagRel":{"_id":"DWfHvAGCiNzbZxaji","voteType":null,"baseScore":2},"postCount":242,"description":"
The criticism of effective altruist causes tag covers posts that criticize popular claims about the importance of a given cause area, or an idea within that area. They don't have to be critical of the area as a whole — just one or more popular ideas related to the area.
Related entries
..."},{"_id":"CDEKHTGHAqLcJPw5A","core":false,"name":"Impact assessment","slug":"impact-assessment","tagRel":{"_id":"J2sHCA5RGGg9poZyr","voteType":null,"baseScore":2},"postCount":261,"description":"
Impact assessment is a structured process for evaluating the impact of an intervention. Impact assessments can focus on an intervention's expected impact (ex-ante or prospective impact assessment) or on its actual impact (ex-post or retrospective impact assessment)...."},{"_id":"SM397hQ6A9wiDrD3e","core":false,"name":"Population ethics","slug":"population-ethics","tagRel":{"_id":"MWrGrqnFeLjshGccF","voteType":null,"baseScore":2},"postCount":216,"description":"
Population ethics is the branch of normative ethics that attempts to justify and articulate principles for making choices between alternatives involving different people. These differences can consist of changes either in the number of people affected or only in the identities of these people...."},{"_id":"tE5BRNibhQogNJExQ","core":false,"name":"Criticism of effective altruist organizations","slug":"criticism-of-effective-altruist-organizations","tagRel":{"_id":"SyuRuDEfis7bhY8db","voteType":null,"baseScore":2},"postCount":290,"description":"
The criticism of effective altruist organizations tag can apply to at least two kinds of posts:
- Posts criticizing the actions/strategy of a particular EA organization (or multiple orgs)
- Posts written by EA orgs or their representatives, if users have written critical comments responding to those posts

Summary

Further reading

Funding

Related entries

Bostrom's typology of possible scenarios

Further reading

Introduction

Related entries

Further reading

Further reading

Related entries

Related entries

Further reading

Further reading

History of the term

Related tags

Further reading

1 Introduction

Further reading

About me

Further reading

Further reading

Related entries

Further reading

Further reading

Evaluation

Related entries

Related entries

Types of career advice research

Further reading

Bostrom's typology of possible scenarios

Related entries

Evaluation

Further reading

Further reading

Related entries

Further reading

Further reading

Related entries

Further reading

Further reading

Related entries

History

History