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As part of conducting research into my Tactics in Practice series (reports designed to understand the impact and potential improvements to common interventions to improve animal welfare), I am often a bit let down by what the research says. After reviewing the evidence behind vegan and meat-reduction challenges and pledges, I have to say I am more optimistic about this tactic than I was before investigating it. I believe they have the potential to shift collective diet change more than most people think. 

Read the Full Resource

To my knowledge, this is the first meta-analytic resource on the topic, combining both public studies, internal data, and gray literature, so I think the results are super important for anyone thinking about this intervention. 

  • In the data I examined (which includes some non-public data), Vegan challenges have a retention rate between 10 and 28%. (Keep in mind, this is a rough range! The data I looked at used varying methodologies, regions, challenges, and definitions of vegan retention, but it’s still a good glimpse of what a well-executed vegan challenge can accomplish).
  • Challenges work via multiple, often interconnected psychological mechanisms. See the attached graphic for details.
  • Mainstream veggie challenges like Veganuary and Meatless Mondays likely make people eat less animal products after the challenge period (on other days of the week for MM and in other months for Veganuary). To me, this is key. It shows long-lasting effects of the challenges even if they aren't a "perfect vegan" afterwards, alligning well with reductionist messaging.
  • Challenge participants have many motivations, including animal welfare, climate, health, and more. No one message will work on everybody – we need diversity in outreach campaigns. 
  • Challenges will likely work best if they target communities, not just individuals. This builds on growing research that diet change is easier in groups than solo efforts. 

A few caveats here: I didn't conduct cost-effectiveness research at this stage (but I might look into it in future versions of this resource). It's possible that the most effective challenges are also the most expensive, as they might result in specific community-based approaches (such as assigning participants to mentors or creating personalized resources) that are harder to scale up. I'm not sure if that's true, but it's worth looking into.

Secondly, like with all interventions, we need to be thinking of vegan challenges as working in conjunction with other tactics. For example, we can consider hosting documentary screenings in a community that is immediately followed up by a local vegan challenge; the pair of interventions are likely more powerful than the sum of their parts. This pairing of interventions is crucial for advocates to consider when choosing which strategies to enact or fund. 

If you're curious about this intervention, I recommend reading the full resource linked above. What do you think about these ideas?

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Woah! This is really interesting and surprising to me. Thank you so much for letting people know!

I'm glad you like this research! Thanks for the comment!

This is cool! Cost-effectiveness estimates would be great, but given that they're likely quite cheap per individual, my guess is that they work out as pretty cost-effective as long as we think that there is a real (average) long-term reduction in animal product consumption, and we don't see the small animal replacement problem rear it's head?

(E.g. IIRC one problem is just that we often have to rely on self-report and it's hard to rigorously assess what changes people really make, if any.)

On that note, I'd be interested if you have an impression of the quality of the studies, and whether you indeed expect this kind of effect?

(Also, could you explain what you mean by "retention rate"? Seems pretty important.)

Thank you, very interesting and much needed. Are any of the RCTs used in this meta-analysis public? What are their designs like?

Thanks Björn! Really interested in the diet change interventions. Veganuary has probably also had quite a nice spillover effect through corporate engagement with the challenge (wether solicited by veganuary or not). During the month of January, supermarkets and brands tend to allocate more resources on marketing, product development and deals for plant based products. 

To me, this write-up would have been a lot more useful if it ended with a rough cost-effectiveness analysis and any takes on what funders should be excited to fund. 

Some other thoughts: I'm sceptical that every 6 extra sign ups to a challenge will get someone from an average diet to an almost plant based diet for a duration of more than 2 years. Is that what the 15% suggests? How were the RCT's performed? Were random people selected and given an incentive to participate?

Hi Martijn! I completely agree about cost-effectiveness analysis. This wasn't part of the original research question, but I am hoping to look into that in a Stage II analysis later this year or early next year, pending funding. That would give even more helpful data to the community. 

Regarding the RCT, here is a link to the original resource: Impact of 10 Weeks to Vegan. Something to keep in mind is that the sample was people who were already thinking about veganism somewhat (analogous to the contemplating stage of the TTM: Social & Psychological Barriers to Veganism - Bryant Research). Therefore, we need to keep in mind that certain interventions are more likely to work on individuals at different stages in the pipeline (another research study I'm interested in conducting).

Thanks for commenting!

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