I think there is a strong case for donating to EA Funds’ Global Health and Development Fund (GHDF) if one wants to support interventions in global health and development without attending to their effects on animals. On the other hand, given this goal, I believe one had better donate to GiveWell’s All Grants Fund (AGF) or unrestricted funds (GWUF), or Giving What We Can’s (GWWC’s) Global Health and Wellbeing Fund (GHWF). In addition, I encourage GHDF to:
- Let its donors know that donating to GHDF in its current form has a similar effect to donating to AGF (if that is in fact the case).
- Consider appointing additional fund managers independent from GiveWell.
- Consider accepting applications.
In any case, the goal of this post is mostly about starting a discussion about the future of GHDF rather than providing super informed takes about it. So feel free to share your thoughts or vision below!
Case for donating to GiveWell's All Grants Fund or unrestricted funds
Donating to AGF or GWUF instead of GHDF seems better if one highly trusts GiveWell’s prioritisation:
- Donating to GHDF in its current form appears to have the same effect as donating to AGF or GWUF:
- Like AGF and GWUF, GHDF “aims to improve the health or economic empowerment of people around the world as effectively as possible”.
- My understanding is that GHDF makes more uncertain or riskier grants than GiveWell's Top Charities Fund (TCF), but AGF, launched in August 2022, now makes such grants too. AGF funds:
- GHDF “is managed by Elie Hassenfeld, GiveWell's co-founder [and CEO]”.
- GHDF does not accept applications, and neither does AGF.
- People in the United Kingdom can support GiveWell’s funds and top charities through tax deductible donations via GiveWell UK, which was launched in August 2022 as AGF.
- Having EA Funds as an additional intermediary seems unnecessary unless it is doing some extra evaluation, which does not appear to be the case.
As a side note, I would also say there is a pretty small difference between which one of GiveWell’s funds, TCF, AGF or GWUF, one donates to:
- Due to funging, more donations to TCF will result in AGF granting less money to GiveWell's top charities.
- GiveWell arguably has tiny room for more funding given Open Philanthropy’s support, so donating to GWUF is similar to donating to AGF.
However, if you highly trust GiveWell's prioritisation, donating to GWUF is the best option given its greatest flexibility, followed by the AGF and TCF. Yet, donors may prefer donating to TCF to facilitate explanations of their effective giving (e.g. skipping the need to go into expected value or funging).
Case for donating to Giving What We Can's Global Health and Wellbeing Fund
Donating to GHWF instead of GHDF seems better if one:
- Welcomes further evaluation of the process behind the recommendations of GiveWell and other evaluators in the global health and wellbeing space (e.g. Happier Lives Institute), trusts GWWC’s research team to identify evaluators to rely on, and wants the evaluations to be published, as in GWWC’s evaluations of evaluators. These would be my main reasons for donating to GHWF instead of GHDF, which has not produced public evaluations of GiveWell's recommendations.
- Is open to donating to funds or organisations not supported by GiveWell in the future, based on the results of further evaluations of evaluators.
- Wants to set up a recurring donation that will always be allocated based on the latest recommendations of evaluators in global health and wellbeing endorsed by GWWC’s research team (so far, only GiveWell).
You can check GHWF’s page for further details, namely the section “How does donating to this fund compare to similar giving opportunities?”.
What should EA Funds' Global Health and Development Fund do?
I would say GHDF should:
- Let its donors know that donating to GHDF in its current form has a similar effect to donating to AGF (if that is in fact the case), instead of just describing GHDF as a “higher-risk” “higher-reward” alternative (to TCF). “Donating to this fund [GHDF] is valuable because it helps demonstrate to GiveWell that there is donor demand for higher-risk, higher-reward global health and development giving opportunities”.
- If donors have been reminded about GHDF’s scope, I wonder to which extent the above is top of mind.
- Consider appointing additional fund managers independent from GiveWell.
- I do not recall seeing a public call for fund managers, and I guess it would have attracted more people than a private one.
- I also assume a short post on eventual attempts to find fund managers would have been useful.
- Consider accepting applications. Jason suggested it could “start taking applications that would previously have been within EAIF’s scope, so that there is a relatively seamless transition for potential and established grantees” (see EA Infrastructure Fund's Plan to Focus on Principles-First EA).
Acknowledgements
Thanks to Caleb Parikh, Elie Hassenfeld, and Sjir Hoeijmakers for feedback on the draft.
Hi Vasco, quickly responding to a few of your points here
Let its donors know that donating to GHDF in its current form has a similar effect to donating to AGF (if that is in fact the case), instead of just describing GHDF as a “higher-risk” “higher-reward” alternative (to TCF). “Donating to this fund [GHDF] is valuable because it helps demonstrate to GiveWell that there is donor demand for higher-risk, higher-reward global health and development giving opportunities”.
Consider appointing additional fund managers independent from GiveWell. I do not recall seeing a public call for fund managers, and I guess it would have attracted more people than a private one. I also assume a short post on eventual attempts to find fund managers would have been useful.
Consider accepting applications. Jason suggested it could “start taking applications that would previously have been within EAIF’s scope, so that there is a relatively seamless transition for potential and established grantees” (see EA Infrastructure Fund's Plan to Focus on Principles-First EA).
Thanks for the clarifying comments, Caleb!
I very much agree cost-effectiveness is all that matters, in the sense that one would ideally maximise the benefits for a given amount of resources. Of course, as you point out, this does not mean the cost-effectiveness number outputted by the spreadsheet is all that matters! It is often hard to formalise all factors which influence cost-effectiveness, and so the actual cost-effectiveness estimates one obtains are not everything. Nevertheless, my impression is that GiveWell's cost-effectiveness estimates are pretty close to encompassing all their thinking. Elie mentioned on the Clearer Thinking podcast that:
This is in line with what you said about Open Phil and GiveWell agreeing with you.
Thanks for questioning! I have clarified my reasons a little more updating the 1st 2 bullets of the section Case for donating to Giving What We Can's Global Health and Wellbeing Fund to:
From your comment, it sounds like you have some concerns about GiveWell's recommendation process, which I think would be worth expanding on more publicly.
I guess a public call might be helpful to find such people. Rethink Priorities might be open to doing some evaluations? They have been commisioned by GiveWell, and have experience incubating new projects.
Do you have a cost-effectiveness bar as a fraction of the cost-effectiveness of GiveDirectly? It may be better to be explicit about it. GiveWell's is 10, and I believe Open Phil's is 20.
Fair points. Maybe such charities will eventually (not initially) go on to use funds which would otherwise have gone to less effective charities?
Fwiw I feel quite confused about how different GiveWell's recommendations would be if they were solely optimising for cost-effectiveness, I have heard different versions of how much they are optimising for this already based on different people that I speak to (and my impression is that most public materials do not say they are solely optimising for this).
I think the bar for the first dollar should be better than the best charity I'm aware of that has room for funding (which is probably at least 20x cash - I'd guess higher). The bar for the last dollar is a bit confusing because of funding effects.
Hi Vasco and Caleb, we appreciate the interest in the Global Health and Development Fund! This is Isabel Arjmand responding on behalf of GiveWell.
We're grateful for the opportunity to manage this fund, and we think it's a great opportunity for donors who want to support highly cost-effective global health and development programs. We're also interested in having more in-depth conversations with Caleb and others involved in EA Funds about what the future of this fund should look like, and we’ll reach out to schedule that.
In the meantime, here are some notes on our grantmaking and how donations to the fund are currently used.
This implies a crux to me. Presumably the people running these charities seek funding from EA sources, despite knowing that counterfactually the bulk of that money would otherwise go to AGF/GHDF/et al. Do you think they disagree with your assessment of their effectiveness, perhaps due to different moral weights?
I'm not suggesting your assessment is wrong -- my own tentative view is that there aren't (m)any places with room for large amounts of funding that would beat GiveWell AGF or similar on pure QUALYs (or equivalent).
That's a second crux, I think. While that is an important purpose, it is not as predominant a purpose in my view. There are lots of monies out there that are practically restricted in a way that precludes AGF et al. from competing for them. This could be due to pre-defined government/foundation grant areas, or due to an individual donor's personal preferences, or a non-EA donor's desire for some higher quantum of warm fuzzies than organizations like AMF can provide. If we don't have anything to offer in those areas, we are conceding them to less effective charities.
All funding niches have low-hanging fruit and monies that are harder to acquire. For instance, speaking from personal experience, there are a lot of US evangelical Christians who won't donate to an organization unless it is Christian-flavored enough. As you might guess, I do not share that view -- but it is what it is, and some people with these views are wealthy. Kaleem's recent quick take on zakat provides another possible example. Other donors really want to donate to mental-health causes, etc. Meanwhile, most GiveWell-recommended charities are significantly operating in a specific zone of fundraising (i.e., donors open to all sorts of charities without any self-imposed limitations). Thus, while it likely isn't cost-effective to fund organizations that operate in niches merely for the QUALYs they produce, it may be beneficial to support them in their earlier stages until they are developed enough to mine their niche for non-EA resources effectively.
Another consideration is that it is unlikely that the current top GHW charities will be as effective in ~20-30 years. It's plausible, albeit unlikely, that we will see PEPFAR levels of funding for malaria vaccines in the next decade or so. (Who would have predicted PEPFAR would have happened, and under Bush II at that?) Infectious disease and malnutrition generally become less overwhelming of a problem as a society develops economically. So an effective GHW field that doesn't grow and develop is unlikely to remain particularly effective in the long run.
That being said: while more cost-effective GHW meta opportunities may well exist, it may be rather difficult to find and evaluate many of them (outside of charity evaluators and effective-giving group support where the causal chain to impact is easier to determine). I'm curious, though, whether/why that would be so much harder in GHW than in longtermism or animal welfare (which do have EA Funds that will consider requests formerly fielded by EAIF). Is it primarily inherent to GHW meta work, or is it more a function of who is skilled up & available to do that evaluation?
This presumption isn't always true. In 2019, at CSH we made a deliberate decision not to continue seeking funding from sources that would counterfactually donate to GiveWell top charities.
Thanks for clarifying, Katriel. For readers reference, CSH stands for Charity Science Health.
Thanks for sharing your thoughts, Jason! I noticed it was downvoted. Excluding my strong upvote and your vote, it would have -7 karma for 2 votes. Caleb's strong downvote is worth -7, so he (or other person) might have strongly downvoted your comment anticipating it would be significantly upvoted by others, which in this case did not happen. I think it makes sense to strongly downvote comments which are only a few words, and have already tens of karma, but I believe substantive comments with not much karma like yours should only be strongly downvoted if they are offensive or have major factual errors. In addition, to the extent this is case, I think downvoters would ideally point out the errors.