A preliminary estimate, and a request for better ones.
Summary
I believe the standard literature estimates for the number of DALYs attributable to a case of stunting are too low, largely because they don’t account for the long term effects. This means that childhood nutritional interventions that reduce the prevalence of stunting may be substantially more cost-effective than previously believed.
Epistemic status
Exploratory and back-o...
Note: This post was crossposted from Planned Obsolescence by the Forum team, with the author's permission. The author may not see or respond to comments on this post.
Subtitle: It’s a major warning shot, and might be the last one we get
All opinions are my personal view, and don’t represent my employer or fellow investigators.
This week, METR and Redwood Research published...
Overview
This post summarizes a new preprint on alternative proteins from the Humane and Sustainable Food Lab: New alternatives, same orders. We investigated 19...
Very interesting! Thanks for sharing; I'd likely never have seen this otherwise.
I see that the author gave away $40,000 in total to 26 people out of four thousand applicants. The EV of creating an application was ten dollars. I don't know how in-depth that process was, but I wonder whether this kind of process risks eating up more value in time than it provides through actual funding? Should the author have tried to provide more warnings to discourage applicants who weren't likely to succeed?
(Of course, every applicant was a volunteer who chose to do this work, but I still think we sometimes undervalue the importance of "microtime", the small units of time that eat into our days when we burn them on things like paperwork.)