I want to start by noting that I am amazed and somewhat in awe of what's been accomplished by the EA animal welfare movement. I am enthusiastically supportive of all campaigns that make living and dying conditions less bad for farmed animals.
I worked on such campaigns for almost 20 years, and I'm proud of that work.
That said, I do think it's a strategic error that the EA animal movement has so thoroughly moved on from advocacy for animal liberation and diet change.
There are two central arguments for that decision that I hear in EA circles and that I think are worthy of reconsideration:
1) These efforts have been tried and failed. Let’s move on.
2) Everyone agrees with us on factory farming, so let’s focus there and stop talking about whether eating meat is unethical; that’s where we meet overwhelming pushback.
I don't agree with either of these statements, and I believe that some of the influx of money we’re expecting for animal protection should be spent on animal liberation and diet change advocacy.
Here are some thoughts and questions that I think support my point-of-view. I look forward to hearing what others think.
1) The value of saying what’s true, because it’s true
EA places a hefty premium on saying things that are true, noting that this free exchange of ideas tends to lead to the best outcomes. Most recently, that’s been one argument in favor of talking about animal suffering when we discuss the harms of factory farming.
It strikes me as obviously true that there’s no moral difference between eating a dog or a pig, a cat or a chicken; if anything, eating a well-treated dog or cat would be morally preferable to eating a factory farmed chicken or pig.
It’s also true that other animals have the same range of emotions and feel pain in the same way and to the same degree that we do. As slaughterhouse designer Temple Grandin has written, other animals may suffer much more than humans do, since for many (most?) non-human animals, the mental and physical anguish of confinement or mutilation is, in that moment, their entire world.
Finally, it’s simply true that eating animals entails paying for abuse so extreme that almost everyone is repulsed by it.
But as far as I'm aware, we have no one with an EA mindset focused on how we make these arguments most effectively. And it seems that none of the potential influx of AI funding is going to go toward changing societies in the direction of these observations.
Is that the right decision? I doubt it.
2) Are there other justice movements that ignored the fact that they were justice movements?
I understand that the abolition, suffrage, and other liberation movements took what they could get and didn't demand immediate and only liberation, of course. If all you can get is better laws around education, Sundays off, and so on -- then that's what you agitate to make happen.
But have other liberation movements owed some part of their success to focusing only on welfare improvements and the most extreme rights violations?
Did any of them avoid the intellectual and ethical foundations of their movements and their most fundamental demands for justice?
Because that’s what EAs are doing with regard to animals, or so it seems to me.
3) Might an aversion to liberation messaging be sending top talent to other cause areas?
In my new book Meat, chapter 5 is mostly about why I don’t think vegan and meat reduction advocacy will stop the upward trajectory of global meat consumption, at least until we have price and taste competitive alternative meats.
But I also point out that a belief in vegetarianism and/or animal liberation motivated many cultivated meat founders to start their companies. It's also why almost all of the sector’s early investors chose to fund them.
I'm pretty sure the cultivated meat industry would not exist if not for investors who believe in animal liberation.
(As an aside, rumors of cultivated meat's death have been greatly exaggerated -- see my inaugural "Meat Matters" substack essay on this topic, which I just posted; while you're there, I would be grateful if you would subscribe and recommend it.)
I think this observation is even more true where farm animal welfare is concerned: I don’t know everyone in the EA animal welfare movement, but I know all of the OGs, and I’m pretty sure they are all vegan. I’m also pretty sure all of them got involved in animal protection because of their belief in animal rights.
If we don’t tell the world why animals matter (i.e., that their suffering is not significantly less important than our suffering), will we attract people with the passion and focus on maximum impact that comes with knowing you’re in a liberation struggle?
ADDITION: After I posted this reflection, Aidan Kankyoku posted his reflection on "The Campaigner Crunch," and there are some insights in his post that I think may be relevant here. I haven't fully worked this out in my brain, but I'm thinking about where he talks about how hard it is to find great campaigners and leaders, because the best people came up as volunteers. Their motivation was, I think, animal liberation. He also talks about how DxE can turn out 50+ volunteers for a demonstration, where the more professional groups (which are also incrementalist) struggle to turn out a handful.
4) Did animal liberation advocacy make farm animal welfare improvements possible?
It seems to me quite possible that advocacy on behalf of animal liberation is what shifted the Overton Window with regard to farm animal welfare. If so, would continuing to push for animal liberation and diet change have a positive impact on what’s possible in the realm of farm animal welfare?
Put another way, if people don’t think animals have interests that matter, are they going to care what happens to them?
Or in more practical terms: Yes, we have the world on our side where factory farming is concerned, but it’s not a top issue for almost anyone — other than those of us who believe in animal liberation. Should this observation change how we think about our advocacy?
It’s all well and good to say “95% of Americans agree with us,” but if the issue is largely an afterthought with no impact on behavior (as it is for almost almost everyone), perhaps it's worth putting some resources into changing that.
As just one example, would our efforts on behalf of farm animal welfare be more successful if some part of our movement were focused on making sure that every single student who graduates from one of the world’s top 100 universities has spent 4 years saturated in animal liberation and diet change messaging?
Lawrence Tribe believes in animal liberation. So does Cass Sunstein. And Richard Dawkins. So did Charles Krauthammer. And Jane Goodall.
What would it look like to make sure everyone coming out of an elite university, anywhere in the world, is clear on the concept? Making that happen would not be expensive, relative to the influx of resources we’re expecting.
My guess: There are dozens of great ideas that could change the global zeitgeist in the direction of animal liberation and a plant-based diet (especially as alt meats get better and come down in price).
5) Might AI and a massive influx of funds change what animal liberation and veg advocacy can accomplish?
I think it’s fair to say that the vast majority of EA animal welfare advocates see diet change and animal liberation advocacy as incapable of making much difference.
We tried. It failed.
This concept is captured by Aidan Kankyoku’s recent Sandcastles essay, where he says this: “In the decades since Animal Liberation, plenty of people have dared to dream of a world without animal farming. They’ve all failed to make that world a reality, or even bring it one step closer. And before you try to get clever with me, I promise you there isn’t some other magic word people haven’t sufficiently incanted. Whatever you think makes your abolitionist movement special … people have tried it before.”
Here’s my full response to his precise argument. The key points are these:
A failed attempt does not test an idea for all time. It tests one version of that idea, pursued by particular people, with particular methods and resources, under particular conditions. All aspects of those conditions change, and with them the potential for success.
Animal liberation and diet change advocacy have never operated at the scale that may soon be possible with 1) AI and 2) dramatically more resources.
Either one of those could be game-changing for their impact on past interventions that failed and, perhaps, for coming up with new ideas that have tremendous merit.
Plus, if “people have tried it before — it didn’t work” were a decisive objection, most or all previous successful movements would have been abandoned, since no movement was successful out of the gate and few (or no) tactics have been successful on their first iteration, I don't believe.
It's my understanding that most (perhaps all) social justice movements looked like failures for a really long time before they succeeded.
Conclusion: What I am not saying
I do want to be clear on one thing: I am also not suggesting that farm animal welfare groups should adopt animal rights or vegetarian talking points. I agree with the idea that each group should frame its work for maximum impact and focus on what its good at.
So GFI is not a diet change advocacy organization, and we’re not an animal rights organization; and I don't think we should be. We have no diet litmus tests. I open my book Meat with the line: “Let me get one thing out of the way right now: I don’t care what you eat.”
And for the purposes of both GFI and the book, I meant (and mean) it.
My concern is this: EA appears to have largely walked away from the moral foundation of our work on behalf of animals. So among the breadth of strategies that EA animal welfare supports, there appears to be scant (and in many cases zero) room for diet change advocacy and no room at all for animal liberation work.
That feels to me like it’s probably a mistake.
Thanks for the post. I think this is an important strategic debate to have, so I'll reply in more length than usual.
I agree with you that we should be honest about what we believe, pursue a variety of strategies, and try to expand the moral circle. I also think you're right that animal liberation played an important role in recruiting many of the movement's current leaders. And I have immense respect for liberation-focused activists like Wayne Hsiung who do courageous work to help animals. None of the following is intended as a criticism of their work. That said, I disagree with you on a number of other points:
Thanks again for this thoughtful post, which I think makes an important point.
I would like to express my support for Bruce Friedrich’s post. And he has strong effective altruist support: Peter Singer and Jeff Sebo have raised the same concern about how effective animal advocacy evaluates different approaches to change (Sebo & Singer, 2018).
1. Difficulty measuring the benefits of activism should not lead us to discount it.
Sebo and Singer explicitly identify the risk of measurability bias. Their concern is that the methods we use to evaluate activism may favor interventions whose benefits are easier to count. An approach may have important benefits even when those benefits are difficult to measure. As they explain:
"It is rather an argument that, if one aspires to reduce animal suffering as much as possible and to use evidence and reason in the course of doing so, then one should take care not to focus disproportionately on the direct, individual impacts of particular interventions since doing so will lead to an incomplete, and probably incorrect, analysis of what animal activists should be doing individually and collectively."
This matters for dietary advocacy because changing social norms may help people adopt dietary changes even if the immediate effects of individual interventions are small.
Expressed another way, there is a fair amount of peer-reviewed research that has found that social stigma is a reason people do not change their diets and, if they do change their diets, change them back (Markowski & Roxburgh, 2019; Hodson & Earle, 2018; MacInnis & Hodson, 2017; Minson & Monin, 2012; Cole & Morgan, 2011).
Many people simply want to be “normal,” and whatever normal is, they will do. This suggests that resistance to dietary change may reflect more than a personal commitment to eating meat. People may know that animals are suffering, and care, and still not go vegetarian or vegan because they are afraid of social isolation. Making vegetarianism and veganism seem normal and decreasing stigma could help more people make and keep the change.
We do not need to wait for a global tipping point to begin this work. Norms can change within particular communities. For example, we see many African Americans embracing plant-based eating as it becomes a norm within parts of the African American community, often framed around health and food justice rather than animals (Harper, 2010; Botchway et al., 2022). I experienced this firsthand in Atlanta, Georgia. What stood out to me was that many of the restaurants that were “plant-based” did not mention animals at all; however, they did mention how African Americans had been given the worst food and how plant-based eating was now a way to reclaim their health. I knew several people who took their dates to completely vegan restaurants, even though they were not vegan themselves, because they viewed these as high-status restaurants that would impress their dates.
An analogy might be smoking: One could imagine effective altruists in the 1950s trying a host of strategies to decrease smoking, including, say, flyers and protests, finding few immediate results, and concluding that these approaches were not worth pursuing. They might then focus only on making cigarettes less harmful, perhaps by decreasing the amount of tar. But substantial change in the rate of American smokers was possible. It required norm-setting behavior.
Or take civil rights, which I raise to compare how movements create change, not to equate the experiences involved. One could imagine effective altruists studying individual efforts to decrease anti-Blackness in the South, finding limited utility in, say, distributing flyers, and concluding that all that could be done to help African Americans was to convince white Americans to treat African Americans better. However, more substantial change was possible. Here, too, it required norm-setting behavior.
Sebo and Singer make this point explicitly:
"For example, historical studies of the civil rights movement, the feminist movement, the LGBTQ+ movement, and more allow one to see how conciliatory and confrontational approaches to activism can interact in ways that make the whole different from and greater than the sum of its parts."
Their argument is that we need to assess how approaches work together, as well as what each achieves individually. This is difficult research, but, as they put it, “It might be difficult to do this work well, but it is not impossible to do so.”
We can see an attempt at norm-setting, or shocking the conscience, in the open rescue movement. Perhaps it will work, perhaps it won’t, but we should not assume it is impossible. Its potential effects include changing how people understand animals and animal exploitation, alongside the direct effects of individual rescues.
2. We do have evidence that we can create long-lasting dietary change.
It is incorrect to say that there is no evidence we can produce long-lasting dietary change. We do have evidence. The problem is that we just don’t know how to scale it. The technique with the strongest support so far for producing dietary change is what we refer to as “moral shocks,” in essence, watching Earthlings or Dominion.
For example, Kramer and Landry (2026) randomly assigned 1,149 University of Toronto undergraduates to watch either a 16-minute clip from Dominion showing industrial pork production or a control video about mushrooms. Instead of asking only about intentions, they had participants choose real meals, and about half of those choices were actually served. What is so strong about this study is that the changes lasted. Right after the video, participants chose 27 percent fewer meals with meat. A week later, they were still choosing 13.5 percent fewer meals with meat, 30 percent less pork, and 122 percent more plant-based meals. The effect did shrink over the week, and the participants were college students, so we need more research on how long these changes last and who they work for. But the changes did not disappear. I learned about this study from Seth Ariel Green, who described it as “a great study.” There are other studies that have found similar results.
So the question is not whether any intervention can change diets. We have evidence that some can. The problem is the difficulty of scaling up, of getting large numbers of people to watch Earthlings. However, it might be possible to significantly increase the number of people who have an Earthlings-like experience. For example, a number of street outreach programs are thinking through ways to have people agree to watch segments of Earthlings.
Relatedly, lectures in college classrooms seem to work. Tracking more than 100,000 meal selections, Jalil, Tasoff, and Bustamante (2023) found that students randomly assigned to a single 50-minute talk on the health and climate effects of eating meat reduced their meat consumption by 5.6 percentage points, with no signs of reversal over three years. The authors calculate a high return on investment even under conservative assumptions, about US$14 per metric ton of CO2-equivalent.
This matches my own experience. Virtually every year, I get to teach a class in which students read every word of Animal Liberation and watch every second of Earthlings. I know they do because I test them on it. Perhaps more importantly, as a professor, I can set a norm in which veganism is clearly not stigmatized: the professor is doing it. And this happens at a key stage in students’ lives, when they are often first deciding who they will be as adults, separate from their families. Unsurprisingly, the changes I see are substantial, with 10–20 percent of students becoming vegetarian or vegan, and this works in a completely different way from, say, a flyer. I know many other vegan professors. We could support them in teaching more classes about animals.
In any case, this evidence suggests that some interventions can produce lasting dietary change. So, no, not flyers per se, but yes, it is a possible area where more research could be helpful.
3. Seth’s meta-analysis is narrower than it may appear.
The meta-analysis identifies limitations in the existing research and excludes many studies that do not meet its inclusion criteria. Only after applying those criteria does it find a small average effect across the remaining studies. That finding does not establish that dietary change is impossible or that other interventions cannot produce larger effects. The authors explicitly call for rigorous evaluation of promising interventions, which supports further research, including more and better-designed studies (Green et al., 2026).
I am aware of a few studies that have found that individual approaches may not be effective, for example, distributing pamphlets or providing information about health and the environment (Haile et al., 2021; Bianchi et al., 2018). Yet a classroom lecture on health and environmental topics did produce lasting change (Jalil et al., 2023). Finding that a particular approach did not produce dietary change does not prove that dietary change itself cannot work.
It is worth noting that one of Seth’s co-authors, Maya Mathur, had earlier published a well-done meta-analysis that found that appeals to animal welfare reduced meat consumption, at least in the short term (Mathur et al., 2021). When I asked her how to think about the two, she told me she now considers Seth’s meta-analysis the better one: the field’s methods improved much faster than she expected, and the newer analysis rests on a much stronger evidence base. Her update also means that much of the rigorous research on this question is recent, and the newest rigorous studies are not uniformly discouraging, as the Dominion and classroom studies above show. Rigorous measurement does not show that dietary change is impossible. It shows that most interventions tested so far have produced small effects, and that some stronger ones may work. And, as Sebo and Singer caution, even the best-designed studies of individual interventions cannot capture how advocacy shifts social norms over time.
4. There are a lot of people who have already changed their diets in the U.S.
The proportion of vegetarians and vegans in the U.S. is probably 9 percent. I have extensive analysis on this point in two different posts (Stănescu, 2019, 2025). I realize this may be a significantly higher number than you have heard before, so please take a look at the research I have compiled.
Ironically, the strongest numbers are from the meat industry itself. They have monthly polls on this exact question, so we have lots and lots of data, every month. Since these studies are funded in part by the beef and pork checkoff programs, any industry bias is presumably in the opposite direction, which is part of why I prefer their data to, say, a poll by Vegetarian Times. Consistently, what they find is a fairly high number of vegetarians, vegans, and semi-vegetarians. For example, the August 2026 Meat Demand Monitor, released September 1, reports 4 percent vegan, 4 percent vegetarian, and 10 percent flexitarian/semi-vegetarian (Tonsor, 2026, p. 3). These are much higher numbers than most people assume. According to this industry-funded survey, 18 percent of respondents identify with these diets, including 4 percent who identify as vegan.
5. I agree with you that we need to be more effective.
A representative from PETA asked me to provide recommendations for their advocacy and communication strategies. Here are five areas I suggested to them where I think more research and support could be helpful:
Perhaps some of these approaches will work, and perhaps some won’t. But that is a reason to study them. If you are interested, I can share more data and thoughts on each of these points.
Overall, I do not think it is fair to describe dietary advocacy as an approach that has repeatedly failed. We do have evidence that some forms of it can work. How much more funding it should receive is still a question worth studying. But, as Sebo and Singer argue, we also need to consider how activism changes social norms over time. If we discount those changes simply because they are harder to measure, we may underestimate the value of funding this work.
Therefore, we should continue to fund research on the effectiveness of dietary advocacy and, until that research is finished, advocacy in that direction.
Again, I would like to express my appreciation to Bruce for his post. He and I have disagreed in other areas, but on this issue, I strongly support his points. I also appreciate each of you working in veganism, vegetarianism, or animal rights. You are doing the most important work there is, and I am grateful to each of you for your work.
References
Bianchi, F., Dorsel, C., Garnett, E., Aveyard, P., & Jebb, S. A. (2018). Interventions targeting conscious determinants of human behaviour to reduce the demand for meat: A systematic review with qualitative comparative analysis. International Journal of Behavioral Nutrition and Physical Activity, 15, 102. Article.
Botchway, M., Turner-McGrievy, G. M., Crimarco, A., Wilson, M. J., Davey, M., Wilcox, S., & Frongillo, E. A. (2022). “They eat what they eat, I eat what I eat”: Examining the perspectives and experiences of African Americans who adopt plant-based diets. American Journal of Lifestyle Medicine, 16(3), 363–373. Article.
Cole, M., & Morgan, K. (2011). Vegaphobia: Derogatory discourses of veganism and the reproduction of speciesism in UK national newspapers. The British Journal of Sociology, 62(1), 134–153. Article.
Green, S. A., Smith, B., & Mathur, M. B. (2026). Meaningfully reducing consumption of meat and animal products is an unsolved problem: A meta-analysis. Appetite, 216, 108233. Article.
Haile, M., Jalil, A., Tasoff, J., & Vargas Bustamante, A. (2021). Changing hearts and plates: The effect of animal-advocacy pamphlets on meat consumption. Frontiers in Psychology, 12, 668674. Article.
Harper, A. B. (Ed.). (2010). Sistah vegan: Black female vegans speak on food, identity, health, and society. Lantern Books.
Hodson, G., & Earle, M. (2018). Conservatism predicts lapses from vegetarian/vegan diets to meat consumption (through lower social justice concerns and social support). Appetite, 120, 75–81. Article.
Jalil, A. J., Tasoff, J., & Bustamante, A. V. (2023). Low-cost climate-change informational intervention reduces meat consumption among students for 3 years. Nature Food, 4(3), 218–222. Article.
Kramer, L. A., & Landry, P. (2026). How the sausage is made: Testing the effectiveness of an informative video in promoting sustainable food consumption. Scientific Reports, 16, 18492. Article.
MacInnis, C. C., & Hodson, G. (2017). It ain’t easy eating greens: Evidence of bias toward vegetarians and vegans from both source and target. Group Processes & Intergroup Relations, 20(6), 721–744. Article.
Markowski, K. L., & Roxburgh, S. (2019). “If I became a vegan, my family and friends would hate me:” Anticipating vegan stigma as a barrier to plant-based diets. Appetite, 135, 1–9. Article.
Mathur, M. B., Peacock, J., Reichling, D. B., Nadler, J., Bain, P. A., Gardner, C. D., & Robinson, T. N. (2021). Interventions to reduce meat consumption by appealing to animal welfare: Meta-analysis and evidence-based recommendations. Appetite, 164, 105277. Article.
Minson, J. A., & Monin, B. (2012). Do-gooder derogation: Disparaging morally motivated minorities to defuse anticipated reproach. Social Psychological and Personality Science, 3(2), 200–207. Article.
Sebo, J., & Singer, P. (2018). Activism. In L. Gruen (Ed.), Critical terms for animal studies (pp. 33–46). University of Chicago Press.
Stănescu, V. (2019, July 1). Guest post: Response to the claim that only 2% (or less) of people in the United States are vegetarian. Critical Animal. Post.
Stănescu, V. (2025, July 20). You are not alone: The real numbers on vegetarians and vegans in America. Win for Animals. Post.
Tonsor, G. (2026, September 1). Meat Demand Monitor: August 2026 (Vol. 7, Issue 8, p. 3). Kansas State University, Department of Agricultural Economics. Report.
Four remarks.
I think very highly of Seth Ariel Green and of his work. Nothing in my comment was meant to suggest any concern about his paper or his scholarship.
What I especially appreciate about his work is that I agree with him that, before his meta-analysis, there were a large number of poorly designed studies that did not prove much. Researchers might conduct an intervention, such as giving a talk about animal welfare, and then immediately observe whether the people they had just spoken to ate less meat. But that does not tell us much. People often try to match what they perceive to be the expectations of the researcher. I have always agreed with Seth on this point and appreciated his work for addressing it.
My concern is instead with the use of his research to support claims that the paper itself does not make and, to the best of my knowledge, Seth has never made. In particular, I sometimes see the meta-analysis cited as evidence that dietary-change interventions cannot work. That is simply not what the paper argues. Indeed, it argues that we need better, more rigorous studies.
Seth has also been generous with his time in brainstorming with me about what those studies might look like. He has repeatedly offered to work, without compensation, as an outside observer on experiments to help make them more rigorous. I have always, without exception, found Seth open to discussion and critique.
I think Seth has published two helpful and insightful papers that I encourage people to read. To the extent they have sometimes been misunderstood, that is through no fault of Seth or his lab. My understanding is that his argument is that the existing research is not strong enough to establish which dietary-change interventions work reliably, and that we therefore need better-designed studies. That is different from arguing that dietary change has been disproven or that effective dietary-change interventions are impossible.
Than you for your kind words, @Vasile Stanescu ! I look forward to discussing more at Reducetarian 😃
I can't recall anyone saying that the 2026 meta suggests that diet change is not viable. What remarks are you thinking of? Lewis, for instance, cites three papers I worked on as "finding little evidence of impact." That's a good high-level summary. James Ozden cites the same three papers in a Susbtack comment as evidence that "we haven’t figured out how to meaningfully reduce meat consumption." Also a good high-level summary.
Who is saying otherwise and citing my/HSFL’s papers in support of that point?
Thank you Vasile. How refreshing to see this on an EA forum, so many great points.
There's certainly more money to be made in the short term by not rocking the boat and prioritizing "welfare". The boat needs to be rocked, as all justice movements have taught us.
Animal Liberation and Diet Change are 2 different concepts. We can achieve Animal Liberation similarly to how the Civil Rights Movement, Gay Rights, and Women’s Rights movements have achieved success. We are already achieving legislative successes such as California banning the sale of fur and San Francisco requiring a minimum amount of food purchased with city funds to be vegan (50% minimum for jails). Also we passed legislation that would require a horse racing track to close, and it closed as we were working on the legislation. This has nothing to do with persuading people one by one to change what they eat, but this is incremental work towards Animal Liberation.
Thanks so much, Lewis — I appreciate you responding in such depth; I know you're busy and don't take that for granted.
Prefatory comment:
My post captured some of what I've been wondering about in recent weeks, based on the Substacks from Nan, Itsi, and you.
And then the thing that prompted me to move those thoughts from my brain to the Forum was Aidan’s dismissal of even trying to come up with something new, b/c it’s all been tried (quoted in my piece). It seems to me that we won’t come up with something new if we’re not trying to come up with something new…
While I’m delighted to offer some thoughts, I’m sure there are many EAs who would have better ideas than I do, and I’d really love to see lots of smart EAs who care about animals challenging one another to come up with new ideas (or twists on old ideas) that are focused on animal liberation and diet change.
If our messaging is laser focused on mitigating the myriad ways animals suffer, that’s what people will spend time on. I wonder if we might see some creative and high-impact proposals focused on diet change and animal liberation, if we actively challenged the community to come up with some.
Okay, from there:
My first four points were asking whether there might be reasons other than direct behavior change that we should be considering, and then my final point asks whether a changed reality for our movement (e.g., AI and more resources as the two obvious examples) might warrant a rethink about what's possible.
With regard to AI: Just like everyone else on the planet is trying to figure out how to use AI to come up with new and better ways to do things and to solve previously unsolvable problems, that’s what I’m wondering about here.
I don’t claim to have answers; this feels like the kind of challenge that warrants lots more people thinking about it (inspired by Itsi’s line, “the projects that step up to the plate will happen.”)
That said, here are some thoughts.
Could AI:
1) help us hone animal liberation and diet change strategies for greater impact? What have we been missing? Why have our strategies so far failed? What might we do to make them more successful?
2) help us analyze what worked with you, me, and everyone else who did change our diets and sign onto Animal Liberation philosophy and then why that workeed and what it might look like to scale up based on that information?
3) help us figure out how to do much, much more with less, via agents for example, opening up impact opportunities that were constrained by bandwidth previously?
4) help us target the people most likely to be open to changing their diets or adopting animal liberation philosophy for the kind of repeat interactions that might work?
5) come up with ideas that no one else has thought of yet?
Those are a few ideas/questions; I would love to see what others might come up with, if prompted to do so.
***
On Resources:
I agree with you (of course) that “what matters is … whether [animal liberation and diet change advocacy] will make those interventions relatively more impactful than the other interventions we could deploy AI and those resources toward.”
It seems like we’ve written off the idea that interventions focused on animal liberation and diet change should even be considered. I’d like to see them in the mix, with creative people really thinking about what might work.
FWIW, I could imagine a big difference in impact between two similar interventions based on the concept of going deep v going broad. Maybe not, but it feels like it might be worth exploring.
Also FWIW, I don’t think the animal liberation movement and diet change advocacy have tried the ideas laid out in The End of Roe — are there lessons there for animal liberation and diet change advocacy, not just for farm animal welfare advocacy? I don’t know, but it seems to me like it would be worth thinking about.
Re: the diet change section on the EA Forum: I was referring to where we’re putting money and what we’re encouraging people to think about right now w/a potential huge influx of resources; everything I’ve seen that speculates on uses of a potential significant influx of funds has focused on animal welfare and alt proteins, both of which I am (of course) incredibly enthusiastic about!
I’d be interested in seeing more people also thinking about diet change and changing the ethics zeitgeist.
***
Very good points w/r/t whether animal liberation activism made welfare improvements possible. Ugh. That said, I still wonder whether a complementary focus on animal liberation and diet advocacy might, directed effectively, prove helpful to welfare campaigns. Could there be a symbiosis there? I don’t know, but it feels to me like it might be worthy of exploration.
I appreciate your comments w/r/t the liberation struggle question. I agree with Elliot’s points and yours. Just one thing: Things like AI safety and global health have humans at the center, so it feels like maybe the liberation concept (these beings matter) is a given?
***
Conclusion:
My post is a call to bring the creativity and analytical minds of the EA community to questions around animal liberation and diet change. EA is constantly asking “How do we do this better? How do we make this work? What’s most effective?”
As you rightly note, a bit more than 10 years ago, we looked at the evidence w/r/t diet change and liberation advocacy, saw that nothing was working, and largely moved on. That may have made sense then, and it’s certainly paid dividends in the form of decreased suffering for an unfathomable number of animals (and the prospects for even more, of course).
My point is: In the light of where were are now (e.g., with advanced AI and the potential for a lot more resources, and perhaps there are other new variables), might an overt focus on animal liberation and diet change advocacy lead to some new and transformative interventions that could work?
Maybe not, of course, but I also think maybe so. It definitely feels to me like it would be worth putting the challenge out there.
Thank you again for engaging—and, of course, for your world-transforming work.
Thanks Bruce! Appreciate the engagement at length here. Thanks too for all you're doing to advance alternative proteins -- a strategy I'm much more optimistic about :)
I'd like just to pick up a couple of points in this reply, numbers 4 and 7. I appreciate that Lewis was addressing specific points that Bruce made rather than making a comprehensive argument but it's what's in front of us.
Firstly, characterising animal liberation activity as "liberationist activists chanting that cage-free is evil" is too narrow a definition at best, and unfair and inaccurate at worst. I entirely agree that that form of activism has shown almost no sign of creating lasting change and may well have been harmful, (although I accept that it may have contributed positively in some ways). Liberationist campaigning, however, encompasses a wide variety of different techniques and approaches. For every liberationist chanting "evil" there is another putting on a tie and talking to their adversaries (me, for instance, or indeed Bruce). If you define "activism" as "shouting at people that what they do is evil", then the case against it is watertight - but it's not a useful definition. Characterising activity intended to promote animal liberation in this way, with respect, is not helpful to an informed, evidence-based and open debate.
Similarly, all the "recent corporate animal welfare wins" came "after the movement pivoted away from vegan outreach" is winning an argument by defining the terms so you can't lose. Well, there were corporate wins before that pivot, and legislative wins that arguably had deeper (if not wider) effects before it too. Defining success by "recent corporate wins" begs its own questions and doesn't help the wider analysis. (I'm also curious about the evidence that the only significant legislative wins for animals in the UK took place before liberation activism.)
In regard to Point 7, I don't think it is helpful to include PETA's budget in the ledger of animal liberationist/diet change activity. When I worked at PETA, none of my work was liberationist or focussed on diet change. PETA does a proud job in both those areas but a very large amount of its work does not fall into those categories. And if $80m out of the $130m "budget" is accounted for by a single organisation (however good or effective), that hardly represents the diverse, innovative and dynamic movement ecosystem that is needed for success, or even needed to make a proper evaluation of the effectiveness of liberationist/diet change activity.
Thanks for engaging -- appreciate your contribution to the debate. I just wanted to clarify that I didn't intend to characterize all animal liberation activity as "liberationist activists chanting that cage-free is evil." Instead I meant to refer just to liberationist anti-cage-free activism, of the kind that PETA and others have engaged in.
I appreciate that liberationist activism is much broader than that. And as noted up top, I have immense respect for liberation-focused activists like Wayne Hsiung who are pursuing creative new approaches. For example, I thought both the Smithfield investigation / trial and Ridglan rescue were courageous acts of self-sacrifice that attracted international attention to the plight of animals.
Many thanks for engaging, Lewis, and for this clarification. On the overall principal, I just want to make two points.
To precis Bruce's post in a sentence, the problem still feels to me to be that in the case of animal liberation campaigning, the EA movement has effectively gone, "that didn't work, let's do something else", rather than "that didn't work, let's do it better". There's room for both.
Second, the one thing I wish Bruce's brilliant post had done a little more explicitly was differentiate diet change campaigning and animal liberation campaigning. One is, broadly, trying to change the world one person at a time and I entirely get the argument that that's too slow (though I think invaluable by other measures). The other is different, it's trying to reach a tipping point at which animal exploitation (all of it) is no longer culturally and legally acceptable, at which point the entire edifice collapses.
EA welfare campaigning is about supply, animal liberation campaigning is about demand. As Prohibition and recreational drug policy tell us, as long as there is demand, supply will find a way. If there is no demand, it's over.
Last, when it comes to the practical steps, can I also point you at this, if you haven't seen it already? https://projectphoenixuk.substack.com/p/what-should-the-ai-windfall-build
Hi Alistair, I appreciate your engagement on this thread and think you're presenting an important perspective. Quick question: how would you define most of PETA's spending if not animal liberationist? I found this surprising!
Thanks, Ben. PETA spends plenty of money on things which don't directly promote animal liberation or diet change. For instance, my job was about promoting non-animal methods in regulatory toxicology (which PETA does very well). It ultimately served a liberationist goal but didn't seek to share or promote animal liberation messages. It was about what's effective and affordable and, for decisionmakers with no interest in animal rights, promoting animal welfare. Most of their work on entertainment, experimentation and fashion is similar. I admire PETA for blending very clear liberation messaging with practical, real world campaigns. No one is in any doubt about what PETA wants but in terms of actual expenditure on staff and programmes, much of it is not trying to change diets or directly influence views on animal rights.
The best argument for food system (“dietary”) change activism would be studying and leveraging actual real-world case studies, specifically the playbook and track record of the tobacco and meat industry and their proven ability to increase market share through successful marketing campaigns. The documentary, The Real Mad Men of Chicago, shows us exactly how this was done over the last several decades.
The important lesson here is that food industry powerholders hold the key to a major shift in the direction of a plant-based food system. Without a people-powered movement to influence their decisions, we don’t stand a chance to make meaningful change, and consumers will just continue to consume the animal-heavy diet that is marketed to them, despite all the consumer-facing outreach we have done and continue to do in the vegan movement (by default?). It sounds like EA testing has found this singular focus on consumer dietary change to be ineffective. If so, on that point, I would agree, it could never be enough on its own. But surely we were strategic enough to realize that much earlier on right?
To further build a mass movement, we would also need to better leverage potential trigger events that reflect the pains and anxieties of everyday working people such as bird flu, food price inflation and extreme weather events and effectively use messaging to tie this into a plant-based foods solution.
Lastly, I think we need to listen carefully to what the powerholders of the food system are telling us. For example, earlier this year, the leading spokesperson for the turkey industry John Zimmerman told Congress at a public hearing that if “we” don’t solve the bird flu problem, there will be no future for the chicken and egg industries. The industry is telling us what their greatest vulnerabilities are and we need to be leveraging them to our advantage. I don’t see that happening “at scale” or even on a micro level, yet.
Obviously there is much more to say, but I prefer real conversation over texting. It’s more effective to communicate face to face whenever possible.